{"id":15569,"date":"2026-04-17T23:56:00","date_gmt":"2026-04-17T23:56:00","guid":{"rendered":"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/?p=15569"},"modified":"2026-04-20T17:05:26","modified_gmt":"2026-04-20T17:05:26","slug":"from-oil-shock-to-checkout-lines-us-iran-war-drives-global-spike-in-consumer-costs","status":"publish","type":"post","link":"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/?p=15569","title":{"rendered":"\u4ece\u77f3\u6cb9\u51b2\u51fb\u5230\u6c11\u751f\u538b\u529b\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u51b2\u7a81\u5f15\u53d1\u5168\u7403\u201c\u6218\u65f6\u901a\u80c0\u201d\u8513\u5ef6"},"content":{"rendered":"\n<p>AACYF\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\uff082026\u5e744\u670817\u65e5\uff09 &#8211; <strong>AACYF\u6d1b\u6749\u77f6\uff082026\u5e744\u670817\u65e5\uff09<\/strong>\u2014\u968f\u7740\u7f8e\u4f0a\u51b2\u7a81\u6301\u7eed\u5347\u7ea7\uff0c\u4e00\u573a\u7531\u80fd\u6e90\u5f15\u53d1\u7684\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u9707\u8361\u6b63\u8fc5\u901f\u8513\u5ef6\u81f3\u666e\u901a\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u7684\u65e5\u5e38\u751f\u6d3b\u3002\u4ece\u6cb9\u4ef7\u98d9\u5347\u5230\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u53d7\u963b\uff0c\u518d\u5230\u98df\u54c1\u3001\u4ea4\u901a\u4e0e\u65e5\u7528\u54c1\u4ef7\u683c\u5168\u9762\u4e0a\u6da8\uff0c\u4e13\u5bb6\u8b66\u544a\uff0c\u8fd9\u573a\u51b2\u7a81\u6b63\u5728\u50ac\u751f\u65b0\u4e00\u8f6e\u201c\u6218\u65f6\u901a\u80c0\u201d\uff08warflation\uff09\uff0c\u5bf9\u7f8e\u56fd\u53ca\u5168\u7403\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5e26\u6765\u6df1\u8fdc\u5f71\u54cd\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u7f8e\u56fd\u793e\u7fa4\u5a92\u4f53\uff08American Community Media, ACoM\uff09\u4e8e4\u670817\u65e5\u4e3e\u884c\u7ebf\u4e0a\u65b0\u95fb\u7b80\u62a5\u4f1a\uff0c\u4e3b\u9898\u4e3a\u201c\u4ece\u77f3\u6cb9\u5371\u673a\u5230\u6536\u94f6\u53f0\u6392\u961f\uff1a\u7f8e\u4f0a\u6218\u4e89\u5bfc\u81f4\u5168\u7403\u6d88\u8d39\u6210\u672c\u98d9\u5347\u201d(From Oil Shock to Checkout Lines: US\u2013Iran War Drives Global Spike in Consumer Costs)\u3002\u591a\u4f4d\u5b66\u8005\u4ece\u5730\u7f18\u653f\u6cbb\u3001\u5b8f\u89c2\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4e0e\u5168\u7403\u4f9b\u5e94\u94fe\u89d2\u5ea6\uff0c\u5206\u6790\u51b2\u7a81\u5e26\u6765\u7684\u8fde\u9501\u53cd\u5e94\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6b64\u6b21\u5371\u673a\u7684\u6838\u5fc3\uff0c\u5728\u4e8e\u6218\u7565\u8981\u9053\u970d\u5c14\u6728\u5179\u6d77\u5ce1\uff08Strait of Hormuz\uff09\u7684\u53cd\u590d\u5173\u95ed\u4e0e\u5f00\u653e\u3002\u8be5\u6d77\u5ce1\u627f\u62c5\u7740\u5168\u7403\u7ea620%\u7684\u77f3\u6cb9\u8fd0\u8f93\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u4e5f\u662f\u5316\u80a5\u3001\u94dd\u6750\u53ca\u90e8\u5206\u6d88\u8d39\u54c1\u7684\u91cd\u8981\u901a\u9053\u3002\u81ea3\u6708\u521d\u4f0a\u6717\u9996\u6b21\u5173\u95ed\u6d77\u5ce1\u4ee5\u6765\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u822a\u8fd0\u53d7\u5230\u4e25\u91cd\u5e72\u6270\u3002\u5c3d\u7ba1\u4f0a\u6717\u4e00\u5ea6\u5ba3\u5e03\u91cd\u65b0\u5f00\u653e\uff0c\u4f46\u5728\u7f8e\u56fd\u5b9e\u65bd\u6d77\u4e0a\u5c01\u9501\u540e\u5c40\u52bf\u518d\u5ea6\u7d27\u5f20\uff0c\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u52a0\u5267\u5e02\u573a\u4e0d\u786e\u5b9a\u6027\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"985\" height=\"551\" src=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15571\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1.jpg 985w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-768x430.jpg 768w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-720x403.jpg 720w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-520x291.jpg 520w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-320x179.jpg 320w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-1-600x336.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 985px) 100vw, 985px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dr. William O. Beeman<\/strong>, Professor Emeritus of Anthropology, University of Minnesota<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u660e\u5c3c\u82cf\u8fbe\u5927\u5b66\u4eba\u7c7b\u5b66\u8363\u4f11\u6559\u6388William O. Beeman\u5219\u4ece\u5386\u53f2\u4e0e\u653f\u6cbb\u89d2\u5ea6\u5206\u6790\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u4f0a\u6717\u957f\u671f\u53d7\u5916\u90e8\u52bf\u529b\u5e72\u9884\uff0c\u5bf9\u201c\u56fd\u5bb6\u4e3b\u6743\u201d\u9ad8\u5ea6\u654f\u611f\uff0c\u8fd9\u4e00\u5386\u53f2\u80cc\u666f\u6df1\u523b\u5f71\u54cd\u5176\u5728\u672c\u8f6e\u51b2\u7a81\u4e2d\u7684\u5f3a\u786c\u7acb\u573a\u3002\u201c\u65e0\u8bba\u662f\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5236\u88c1\u8fd8\u662f\u519b\u4e8b\u5a01\u80c1\uff0c\u90fd\u96be\u4ee5\u8feb\u4f7f\u4f0a\u6717\u5728\u6838\u5fc3\u95ee\u9898\u4e0a\u8ba9\u6b65\u3002\u201d\u4ed6\u8868\u793a\uff0c\u82e5\u5ffd\u89c6\u4f0a\u6717\u7684\u5386\u53f2\u4e0e\u610f\u8bc6\u5f62\u6001\u56e0\u7d20\uff0c\u5916\u4ea4\u8c08\u5224\u96be\u4ee5\u53d6\u5f97\u5b9e\u8d28\u8fdb\u5c55\u3002\u6b64\u5916\uff0c\u90e8\u5206\u7f8e\u56fd\u653f\u6cbb\u4eba\u7269\u5e26\u6709\u5b97\u6559\u610f\u5473\u7684\u8a00\u8bba\uff0c\u53ef\u80fd\u8fdb\u4e00\u6b65\u6fc0\u5316\u4e2d\u4e1c\u5730\u533a\u7d27\u5f20\u5c40\u52bf\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"980\" height=\"549\" src=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15574\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3.jpg 980w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-300x168.jpg 300w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-768x430.jpg 768w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-720x403.jpg 720w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-520x291.jpg 520w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-320x179.jpg 320w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-3-600x336.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 980px) 100vw, 980px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dr. Ryan Nunn,&nbsp;<\/strong>Director of Research, Budget Lab at Yale, Consumer and Civil Rights Attorney, Former Federal Trade Commission Attorney<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u53d7\u6b64\u5f71\u54cd\uff0c\u56fd\u9645\u6cb9\u4ef7\u51fa\u73b0\u5267\u70c8\u6ce2\u52a8\u3002\u8036\u9c81\u5927\u5b66\u9884\u7b97\u5b9e\u9a8c\u5ba4\u7814\u7a76\u4e3b\u4efbRyan Nunn\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u51b2\u7a81\u7206\u53d1\u540e\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e00\u5ea6\u98d9\u5347\u81f3\u6bcf\u6876111\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u8f83\u6218\u524d\u4e0a\u6da8\u7ea635\u7f8e\u5143\uff0c\u5c5e\u4e8e\u8fc7\u53bb50\u5e74\u6765\u6700\u663e\u8457\u7684\u6ce2\u52a8\u4e4b\u4e00\u3002\u76ee\u524d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4ecd\u7ef4\u6301\u5728\u9ad8\u4f4d\u9707\u8361\u533a\u95f4\u3002\u4ed6\u9884\u8ba1\uff0c\u672a\u6765\u4e00\u5e74\u7f8e\u56fd\u6838\u5fc3\u7269\u4ef7\u6c34\u5e73\u53ef\u80fd\u4e0a\u5347\u7ea60.5%\uff0c\u800c\u56fd\u5185\u751f\u4ea7\u603b\u503c\uff08GDP\uff09\u6216\u51cf\u5c11\u7ea60.5%\uff0c\u76f8\u5f53\u4e8e\u7ea61150\u4ebf\u7f8e\u5143\u7684\u7ecf\u6d4e\u4ea7\u51fa\u635f\u5931\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<p>\u201c\u5f53\u6cb9\u4ef7\u4e0a\u6da8\u65f6\uff0c\u4e0d\u4ec5\u6c7d\u6cb9\u4ef7\u683c\u4e0a\u5347\uff0c\u66f4\u4f1a\u5e26\u52a8\u6574\u4f53\u901a\u80c0\uff0c\u540c\u65f6\u6291\u5236\u7ecf\u6d4e\u6d3b\u52a8\u3002\u201dNunn\u8868\u793a\u3002\u4ed6\u540c\u65f6\u6307\u51fa\uff0c\u6cb9\u4ef7\u5411\u7ec8\u7aef\u6d88\u8d39\u4ef7\u683c\u7684\u4f20\u5bfc\u5177\u6709\u6ede\u540e\u6027\uff0c\u5373\u4f7f\u672a\u6765\u6cb9\u4ef7\u56de\u843d\uff0c\u6d88\u8d39\u8005\u4e5f\u96be\u4ee5\u5728\u77ed\u671f\u5185\u611f\u53d7\u5230\u660e\u663e\u4e0b\u964d\uff0c\u901a\u5e38\u9700\u8981\u7ea6\u4e00\u5e74\u534a\u65f6\u95f4\u624d\u80fd\u9010\u6b65\u6d88\u5316\u51b2\u51fb\u3002<\/p>\n\n\n\n<figure class=\"wp-block-image size-full\"><img loading=\"lazy\" decoding=\"async\" width=\"995\" height=\"564\" src=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2.jpg\" alt=\"\" class=\"wp-image-15576\" srcset=\"https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2.jpg 995w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-300x170.jpg 300w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-768x435.jpg 768w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-720x408.jpg 720w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-520x295.jpg 520w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-320x181.jpg 320w, https:\/\/aacyf.org\/wp-content\/uploads\/2026\/04\/20260417-ACOM-2-600x340.jpg 600w\" sizes=\"auto, (max-width: 995px) 100vw, 995px\" \/><\/figure>\n\n\n\n<ul class=\"wp-block-list\">\n<li><strong>Dr. Anil Deolalikar,&nbsp;<\/strong>Professor of Economics, UC Riverside, Founding Dean of the School of Public Policy at UCR<\/li>\n<\/ul>\n\n\n\n<p>\u6cb3\u6ee8\u52a0\u5dde\u5927\u5b66\u7ecf\u6d4e\u5b66\u6559\u6388Anil 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